Announcement

Collapse

NEW POSTERS

POST REQUIREMENTS TO START A THREAD START AT 25

See more
See less

Severe Weather Thread Vol. 3-Featuring SATP

Collapse

First Unread Thread Button

Collapse

X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

    Originally posted by Pokej View Post
    It rained in Kansas over the watershed for the Arkansas River
    They need a break. Even with the huge release Keystone is up a foot since the morning of the 24th. Currently 33.53 ft above nornal.
    ​​​​​​Current release at 267,000 cfs. No current inflow update

    Comment


      Inflow just updated to 295,000. Yesterday it was at 300,000

      33.56 ft above normal.

      Comment


        Inflow into Keystone is slightly higher than the avg Mississippi River flow at St Louis.

        Comment


          Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post

          They need a break. Even with the huge release Keystone is up a foot since the morning of the 24th. Currently 33.53 ft above nornal.
          ​​​​​​Current release at 267,000 cfs. No current inflow update
          Tulsa World posted this on Facebook:


          Breaking: Floodwater releases at Keystone Dam will increase to 265,000 cfs at 7 p.m. and will ramp up to 275,000 Monday morning. Check back here for the latest.

          Comment


            Originally posted by Stinger_1066 View Post

            Tulsa World posted this on Facebook:


            Breaking: Floodwater releases at Keystone Dam will increase to 265,000 cfs at 7 p.m. and will ramp up to 275,000 Monday morning. Check back here for the latest.
            Damn

            current data


            http://www.swt-wc.usace.army.mil/KEYS.lakepage.html

            Comment


              Hope the waterlogged levees hold. They have to be stressed to the max

              Comment


                Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post
                Hope the waterlogged levees hold. They have to be stressed to the max
                They have concern about a couple of them on the west side of Tulsa but haven't heard anything about anywhere else. National Guard is supposed to be patrolling them all at all times looking for problems.

                Comment


                  Is it supposed to go crazy again tomorrow?

                  Comment


                    Public Service Announcement.

                    Interesting statistic. Only 14,000 people in Oklahoma buy flood insurance. There are 13,000 people in Tulsa alone that live in the flood plain.

                    Nearly 1.1 million homeowners’ policies have been issued in the state, Mulready said, but only about 14,000 of those properties have flood insurance.

                    “I will tell you, unfortunately, as we go without incidents with floods, you can literally watch the coverage drop off of people buying flood insurance,” he said.

                    To put the flood insurance numbers in context, Mulready noted that he had recently learned that in Tulsa alone there are 13,000 homes in the flood plain.
                    https://www.tulsaworld.com/news/loca...0312c73a2.html

                    Homeowner's policies do not cover floods. Info here.

                    https://www.fema.gov/national-flood-insurance-program

                    If I was in the 500 year flood plain in Oklahoma I would have it. It's not that expensive.

                    https://msc.fema.gov/portal/search

                    FYI: You also have to have to have a rider to even cover sewer backup.

                    Comment


                      Originally posted by oucub23 View Post
                      Is it supposed to go crazy again tomorrow?
                      It's not a terribly impressive setup as far as tornadoes go, but they'll be possible; some of the higher-res short-range models have isolated supercells developing west of the metro in the late afternoon/early evening. The thing I like is that there doesn't seem to be much of a signal for a huge complex bringing widespread heavy rain like Friday or Saturday.

                      Comment


                        Originally posted by ouwxgrad_v2 View Post

                        It's not a terribly impressive setup as far as tornadoes go, but they'll be possible; some of the higher-res short-range models have isolated supercells developing west of the metro in the late afternoon/early evening. The thing I like is that there doesn't seem to be much of a signal for a huge complex bringing widespread heavy rain like Friday or Saturday.
                        Is Tulsa in a high risk for tornadoes? Travis had that nervous look tonight.

                        Comment


                          Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post

                          Is Tulsa in a high risk for tornadoes? Travis had that nervous look tonight.
                          Tulsa's got about the same risk level as the OKC metro, i.e. not an "outbreak" sort of setup, but not out of the question, either. (Just gotta get through this next day or two and then more of a "summer" weather pattern ought to set in.)

                          Comment


                            Keystone still losing ground. Up a half foot (34.10 ft above normal) since yesterday even with the increased release.

                            inflow at 285,000 with 275,000 discharge.

                            looks like a good chance of more precipitation the next two days.

                            Comment


                              Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
                              Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
                              Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
                              SIG SEVERE 46,624 3,239,008 Kansas City, MO...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS...Topeka, KS...Olathe, KS...
                              15 % 18,025 512,725 St. Joseph, MO...Leavenworth, KS...Excelsior Springs, MO...Lansing, KS...Maryville, MO...
                              10 % 47,453 3,421,810 Kansas City, MO...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS...Topeka, KS...Olathe, KS...
                              5 % 141,282 30,862,736 Philadelphia, PA...Oklahoma City, OK...Cleveland, OH...Tulsa, OK...Wichita, KS...
                              2 % 239,111 42,176,401 New York, NY...Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Fort Worth, TX...
                              ...Oklahoma/southern Kansas to Ozarks... More isolated surface-based development is expected with southward extent across the region late this afternoon and evening. Initially warm mid-level temperatures (13C at 700mb per 12Z Norman sounding) and inhibition should abate in tandem with weak height falls and the gradual approach of the cyclonically curved upper jet.

                              Where storms do develop, large hail is expected to be the primary threat, but a tornado or two could occur as well, mainly as the low-level jet begins to nocturnally strengthen this evening toward/after sunset.

                              Locally damaging winds could also occur pending possible gradual upscale growth this evening as storms spread east-northeastward. Have adjusted the Enhanced Risk southwestward across Oklahoma in tandem with short-term guidance/convection-allowing model consensus based on the plausibility of at least isolated supercellular development.

                              Comment


                                Ohio had at least one significant tornado last night in the Dayton area.

                                Their TV met's don't handle it as well as ours...

                                Comment


                                  Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


                                  Comment


                                    Comment


                                      We’re supposed to play baseball tonight in Edmond. Rain potential only 30% but the line sets up in western OK and moves across the metro right about the time games get going. Channel 4 seems pretty confident we’ll see storms.

                                      Comment


                                        Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                        Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


                                        Wonder if she cleans the camera lenses purely by accident.

                                        Comment


                                          The ever changing sky on the Great Plains can be one of the most beautiful awe inspiring sights that Mother Nature produces anywhere on earth .
                                          Too many trees can ruin views like this

                                          Comment


                                            Originally posted by SoonerSean View Post
                                            We’re supposed to play baseball tonight in Edmond. Rain potential only 30% but the line sets up in western OK and moves across the metro right about the time games get going. Channel 4 seems pretty confident we’ll see storms.
                                            Yep CH 4 is saying to stay very weather aware
                                            Called today a dangerous situation.

                                            IMHO it's all about the cap and if a few storms can form?
                                            It’s looking like we could see a few isolated supper cells that could be persistent tornado threats...,

                                            Comment


                                              Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                              Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


                                              I might need a brown bag over my head in order to hit that.

                                              Comment


                                                Originally posted by OU48A View Post

                                                Yep CH 4 is saying to stay very weather aware
                                                Called today a dangerous situation.

                                                IMHO it's all about the cap and if a few storms can form?
                                                It’s looking like we could see a few isolated supper cells that could be persistent tornado threats...,
                                                I saw that the NWS in Norman had low chances for tornadoes. The way it's been going this month with their predictions, I'd say we all better buckle up tonight.

                                                Comment


                                                  Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                  I saw that the NWS in Norman had low chances for tornadoes. The way it's been going this month with their predictions, I'd say we all better buckle up tonight.

                                                  Since the information can be diagnosed differently it’s why I try to pay attention to several sources for severe WX forecast.
                                                  Within reason I want to hear the worst case prognostications so that I’m not caught off guard.

                                                  Comment


                                                    Originally posted by OU48A View Post


                                                    Since the information can be diagnosed differently it’s why I try to pay attention to several sources for severe WX forecast.
                                                    Within reason I want to hear the worst case prognostications so that I’m not caught off guard.
                                                    I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?

                                                    Comment


                                                      Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                      I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?
                                                      Nope, I don't think so. They sounded the sirens with only a few minutes warning.

                                                      Comment


                                                        Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post

                                                        Nope, I don't think so. They sounded the sirens with only a few minutes warning.
                                                        We were up at Grand Lake and it was strange being away from TV. The Sapulpa/Jenks tornado rolled by about a mile south of our house. Another one got close to us up by the lake where we were. We were under a warning there, but it looked like the rotation was south of us (RadarScope). Our phones were blown up by people who were watching TV. I am usually that guy.

                                                        We had a couple of limbs down at Jenks/Sapulpa and no electricity for 18 hours. I didn't mind not being there for that.

                                                        Comment


                                                          NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.

                                                          Comment


                                                            Where do you find these updates
                                                            Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                            NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.

                                                            Comment


                                                              Originally posted by SoonerBounce13 View Post
                                                              Where do you find these updates
                                                              NWS Norman Twitter. I have issues posting Twitter feeds or else I would post it directly.

                                                              Comment


                                                                something weird is happening with this thread

                                                                Comment


                                                                  Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                                  I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?
                                                                  Yes....the Tornado watch ended at 10pm
                                                                  The El Reno tornado struck at around 10:30 pm

                                                                  Comment


                                                                    Tornado watch for OKC metro just announced.

                                                                    Comment


                                                                      Fucked up just like the Traber thread.

                                                                      Comment


                                                                        Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                                        NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.
                                                                        If that’s true I’m not sure why they issued a tornado watch?

                                                                        https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0276.html

                                                                        Comment


                                                                          Originally posted by OU48A View Post

                                                                          If that’s true I’m not sure why they issued a tornado watch?

                                                                          https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0276.html
                                                                          Good question. I'm also curious why Tulsa isn't included in the watch.

                                                                          Comment


                                                                            post

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              Keep posting until it goes to the next page

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                one more

                                                                                Comment


                                                                                  again

                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                    One more should do it

                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                      test

                                                                                      Comment


                                                                                        Originally posted by OU48A View Post

                                                                                        If that’s true I’m not sure why they issued a tornado watch?

                                                                                        https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0276.html
                                                                                        Wonder if they noticed something with the CAP since Weather Balloon was launched? Looks like it was posted on twitter at 2:15 and the watch was issued :35 min later.

                                                                                        Comment


                                                                                          There. That should do it.

                                                                                          Comment


                                                                                            You healed it!

                                                                                            Comment


                                                                                              Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post
                                                                                              You healed it!
                                                                                              What do you expect from good ole Loose Shoes? Lives can now be saved tonight.

                                                                                              Comment


                                                                                                Originally posted by Balboa73 View Post

                                                                                                Wonder if they noticed something with the CAP since Weather Balloon was launched? Looks like it was posted on twitter at 2:15 and the watch was issued :35 min later.

                                                                                                The cap is weakening over western OK and is expected to weaken further to the east as the day and evening progress

                                                                                                Comment


                                                                                                  Rick Smith‏Verified account @ounwcm 27m27 minutes ago

                                                                                                  Not expecting a lot of storms, but any storm will likely be severe. Large hail main threat. Tornado threat may increase as we get toward evening. Stay alert! #okwx

                                                                                                  Comment


                                                                                                    Cells going up SW of Lawton and west of OKC...
                                                                                                    Moving NE at 35MPH

                                                                                                    Comment


                                                                                                      The one by Frederick has a severe warning

                                                                                                      Comment

                                                                                                      Unconfigured Ad Widget

                                                                                                      Collapse

                                                                                                      Go To Top

                                                                                                      Collapse

                                                                                                      Working...
                                                                                                      X
                                                                                                      UA-124223861-1