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Severe Weather Thread Vol. 3-Featuring SATP

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    Originally posted by Stinger_1066 View Post

    I take it your power is out???



    My son lives 2 blocks east of May on 17th. I texted him. He says no damage. I don't think he realizes how close it came to his place.
    Yep, it's out. Not down the street though. It goes out here all the time and it's a small pocket of OG&E where most around here are PSO.

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      I'm in BA. Fell asleep around midnight, then sirens went off, I thought it was the flood sirens since there was no talk of any tornadoes last night then my phone said tornado warning in my area. Turned on the tv then the power went off around 1. Relative in Glenpool still had power and texted me the all clear. It was just a few miles north of me. What a crazy night. Can May be over already? Hope everyone was safe.

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        Not blaming the WX guys at all - it’s amazing we could have a day like Monday where everyone is on edge all day and schools are closed and then it’s something crazy like last night that takes people pretty much by surprise. I mean at 10:00 the tornado watch ended and then a few minutes later the one hit El Reno almost simultaneously as a warning was issued.

        I’m in agreement with the sentiment that May needs to GTFO.

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          Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
          I'm in BA. Fell asleep around midnight, then sirens went off, I thought it was the flood sirens since there was no talk of any tornadoes last night then my phone said tornado warning in my area. Turned on the tv then the power went off around 1. Relative in Glenpool still had power and texted me the all clear. It was just a few miles north of me. What a crazy night. Can May be over already? Hope everyone was safe.
          To the west in El Reno:



          Glad to hear you are well sir...
          I was in south Oklahoma City, could faintly hear sirens/ had to pick up my daughter from work in the midst of funnels forming over sw OKC/ Moore (between home & her job in medical field)... I felt like man, I love my home state, but am almost quite ready to be done with the spring storms & just settle in to Phoenix (& the scorching heat of summer), but it's an HVAC guy's paradise... But we are all Sooner strong/ we've made it through May 1999 with F-5's so this was just "easy"...

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            I’m starting to wonder if they should go back to county wide sirens

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              Originally posted by SoonerBounce13 View Post
              I’m starting to wonder if they should go back to county wide sirens
              why? last night they blared the siren for an area of circulation that wasn't even in my county.

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                We made it through a night without rain, except for up around Woodward. Cause for celebration.
                Give me Liberty, or give me Death!

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                  It rained in Kansas over the watershed for the Arkansas River

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                    Originally posted by Pokej View Post
                    It rained in Kansas over the watershed for the Arkansas River
                    They need a break. Even with the huge release Keystone is up a foot since the morning of the 24th. Currently 33.53 ft above nornal.
                    ​​​​​​Current release at 267,000 cfs. No current inflow update

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                      Inflow just updated to 295,000. Yesterday it was at 300,000

                      33.56 ft above normal.

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                        Inflow into Keystone is slightly higher than the avg Mississippi River flow at St Louis.

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                          Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post

                          They need a break. Even with the huge release Keystone is up a foot since the morning of the 24th. Currently 33.53 ft above nornal.
                          ​​​​​​Current release at 267,000 cfs. No current inflow update
                          Tulsa World posted this on Facebook:


                          Breaking: Floodwater releases at Keystone Dam will increase to 265,000 cfs at 7 p.m. and will ramp up to 275,000 Monday morning. Check back here for the latest.
                          Give me Liberty, or give me Death!

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                            Originally posted by Stinger_1066 View Post

                            Tulsa World posted this on Facebook:


                            Breaking: Floodwater releases at Keystone Dam will increase to 265,000 cfs at 7 p.m. and will ramp up to 275,000 Monday morning. Check back here for the latest.
                            Damn

                            current data


                            http://www.swt-wc.usace.army.mil/KEYS.lakepage.html

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                              Hope the waterlogged levees hold. They have to be stressed to the max

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                                Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post
                                Hope the waterlogged levees hold. They have to be stressed to the max
                                They have concern about a couple of them on the west side of Tulsa but haven't heard anything about anywhere else. National Guard is supposed to be patrolling them all at all times looking for problems.

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                                  Is it supposed to go crazy again tomorrow?

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                                    Public Service Announcement.

                                    Interesting statistic. Only 14,000 people in Oklahoma buy flood insurance. There are 13,000 people in Tulsa alone that live in the flood plain.

                                    Nearly 1.1 million homeowners’ policies have been issued in the state, Mulready said, but only about 14,000 of those properties have flood insurance.

                                    “I will tell you, unfortunately, as we go without incidents with floods, you can literally watch the coverage drop off of people buying flood insurance,” he said.

                                    To put the flood insurance numbers in context, Mulready noted that he had recently learned that in Tulsa alone there are 13,000 homes in the flood plain.
                                    https://www.tulsaworld.com/news/loca...0312c73a2.html

                                    Homeowner's policies do not cover floods. Info here.

                                    https://www.fema.gov/national-flood-insurance-program

                                    If I was in the 500 year flood plain in Oklahoma I would have it. It's not that expensive.

                                    https://msc.fema.gov/portal/search

                                    FYI: You also have to have to have a rider to even cover sewer backup.

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                                      Originally posted by oucub23 View Post
                                      Is it supposed to go crazy again tomorrow?
                                      It's not a terribly impressive setup as far as tornadoes go, but they'll be possible; some of the higher-res short-range models have isolated supercells developing west of the metro in the late afternoon/early evening. The thing I like is that there doesn't seem to be much of a signal for a huge complex bringing widespread heavy rain like Friday or Saturday.

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                                        Originally posted by ouwxgrad_v2 View Post

                                        It's not a terribly impressive setup as far as tornadoes go, but they'll be possible; some of the higher-res short-range models have isolated supercells developing west of the metro in the late afternoon/early evening. The thing I like is that there doesn't seem to be much of a signal for a huge complex bringing widespread heavy rain like Friday or Saturday.
                                        Is Tulsa in a high risk for tornadoes? Travis had that nervous look tonight.

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                                          Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post

                                          Is Tulsa in a high risk for tornadoes? Travis had that nervous look tonight.
                                          Tulsa's got about the same risk level as the OKC metro, i.e. not an "outbreak" sort of setup, but not out of the question, either. (Just gotta get through this next day or two and then more of a "summer" weather pattern ought to set in.)

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                                            Keystone still losing ground. Up a half foot (34.10 ft above normal) since yesterday even with the increased release.

                                            inflow at 285,000 with 275,000 discharge.

                                            looks like a good chance of more precipitation the next two days.

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                                              Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
                                              Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
                                              Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
                                              SIG SEVERE 46,624 3,239,008 Kansas City, MO...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS...Topeka, KS...Olathe, KS...
                                              15 % 18,025 512,725 St. Joseph, MO...Leavenworth, KS...Excelsior Springs, MO...Lansing, KS...Maryville, MO...
                                              10 % 47,453 3,421,810 Kansas City, MO...Overland Park, KS...Kansas City, KS...Topeka, KS...Olathe, KS...
                                              5 % 141,282 30,862,736 Philadelphia, PA...Oklahoma City, OK...Cleveland, OH...Tulsa, OK...Wichita, KS...
                                              2 % 239,111 42,176,401 New York, NY...Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Fort Worth, TX...
                                              ...Oklahoma/southern Kansas to Ozarks... More isolated surface-based development is expected with southward extent across the region late this afternoon and evening. Initially warm mid-level temperatures (13C at 700mb per 12Z Norman sounding) and inhibition should abate in tandem with weak height falls and the gradual approach of the cyclonically curved upper jet.

                                              Where storms do develop, large hail is expected to be the primary threat, but a tornado or two could occur as well, mainly as the low-level jet begins to nocturnally strengthen this evening toward/after sunset.

                                              Locally damaging winds could also occur pending possible gradual upscale growth this evening as storms spread east-northeastward. Have adjusted the Enhanced Risk southwestward across Oklahoma in tandem with short-term guidance/convection-allowing model consensus based on the plausibility of at least isolated supercellular development.

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                                                Ohio had at least one significant tornado last night in the Dayton area.

                                                Their TV met's don't handle it as well as ours...

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                                                  Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


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                                                      We’re supposed to play baseball tonight in Edmond. Rain potential only 30% but the line sets up in western OK and moves across the metro right about the time games get going. Channel 4 seems pretty confident we’ll see storms.

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                                                        Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                        Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


                                                        Wonder if she cleans the camera lenses purely by accident.

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                                                          The ever changing sky on the Great Plains can be one of the most beautiful awe inspiring sights that Mother Nature produces anywhere on earth .
                                                          Too many trees can ruin views like this

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                                                            Originally posted by SoonerSean View Post
                                                            We’re supposed to play baseball tonight in Edmond. Rain potential only 30% but the line sets up in western OK and moves across the metro right about the time games get going. Channel 4 seems pretty confident we’ll see storms.
                                                            Yep CH 4 is saying to stay very weather aware
                                                            Called today a dangerous situation.

                                                            IMHO it's all about the cap and if a few storms can form?
                                                            It’s looking like we could see a few isolated supper cells that could be persistent tornado threats...,

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                                                              Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                              Now that Lacey's gone, Caroline Brown is without a doubt the hottest meteorologist in Tulsa. Redhead, amazing rack, and an OU girl.


                                                              I might need a brown bag over my head in order to hit that.
                                                              Give me Liberty, or give me Death!

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                                                                Originally posted by OU48A View Post

                                                                Yep CH 4 is saying to stay very weather aware
                                                                Called today a dangerous situation.

                                                                IMHO it's all about the cap and if a few storms can form?
                                                                It’s looking like we could see a few isolated supper cells that could be persistent tornado threats...,
                                                                I saw that the NWS in Norman had low chances for tornadoes. The way it's been going this month with their predictions, I'd say we all better buckle up tonight.

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                                                                  Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                                  I saw that the NWS in Norman had low chances for tornadoes. The way it's been going this month with their predictions, I'd say we all better buckle up tonight.

                                                                  Since the information can be diagnosed differently it’s why I try to pay attention to several sources for severe WX forecast.
                                                                  Within reason I want to hear the worst case prognostications so that I’m not caught off guard.

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                                                                    Originally posted by OU48A View Post


                                                                    Since the information can be diagnosed differently it’s why I try to pay attention to several sources for severe WX forecast.
                                                                    Within reason I want to hear the worst case prognostications so that I’m not caught off guard.
                                                                    I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?

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                                                                      Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                                      I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?
                                                                      Nope, I don't think so. They sounded the sirens with only a few minutes warning.

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                                                                        Originally posted by Pphilfran View Post

                                                                        Nope, I don't think so. They sounded the sirens with only a few minutes warning.
                                                                        We were up at Grand Lake and it was strange being away from TV. The Sapulpa/Jenks tornado rolled by about a mile south of our house. Another one got close to us up by the lake where we were. We were under a warning there, but it looked like the rotation was south of us (RadarScope). Our phones were blown up by people who were watching TV. I am usually that guy.

                                                                        We had a couple of limbs down at Jenks/Sapulpa and no electricity for 18 hours. I didn't mind not being there for that.

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                                                                          NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.

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                                                                            Where do you find these updates
                                                                            Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                                            NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.

                                                                            Comment


                                                                              Originally posted by SoonerBounce13 View Post
                                                                              Where do you find these updates
                                                                              NWS Norman Twitter. I have issues posting Twitter feeds or else I would post it directly.

                                                                              Comment


                                                                                something weird is happening with this thread

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                                                                                  Originally posted by SoonerAtty View Post

                                                                                  I was away this weekend without much TV. Is it true that the tornado watch for western Oklahoma ended a few minutes before the El Reno tornado or was that BS?
                                                                                  Yes....the Tornado watch ended at 10pm
                                                                                  The El Reno tornado struck at around 10:30 pm

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                                                                                    Tornado watch for OKC metro just announced.

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                                                                                      Fucked up just like the Traber thread.

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                                                                                        Originally posted by Loose Shoes View Post
                                                                                        NWS Norman launched a weather balloon that shows the cap (layer of warm air aloft that can delay or prevent storms) is still in place in central OK but likely weaker in western OK.
                                                                                        If that’s true I’m not sure why they issued a tornado watch?

                                                                                        https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0276.html

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                                                                                          Originally posted by OU48A View Post

                                                                                          If that’s true I’m not sure why they issued a tornado watch?

                                                                                          https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0276.html
                                                                                          Good question. I'm also curious why Tulsa isn't included in the watch.

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                                                                                            post

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                                                                                              Keep posting until it goes to the next page

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                                                                                                one more

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                                                                                                  again

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                                                                                                    One more should do it

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                                                                                                      test

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